Danish Aerospace Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

DAC Stock  DKK 3.20  0.08  2.56%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Danish Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 3.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.67. Danish Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Danish Aerospace is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Danish Aerospace 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Danish Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 3.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Danish Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Danish Aerospace's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Danish Aerospace Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Danish AerospaceDanish Aerospace Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Danish Aerospace Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Danish Aerospace's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Danish Aerospace's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 7.21, respectively. We have considered Danish Aerospace's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.20
3.18
Expected Value
7.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Danish Aerospace stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Danish Aerospace stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.5894
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0148
MADMean absolute deviation0.0994
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0292
SAESum of the absolute errors5.665
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Danish Aerospace. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Danish Aerospace and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Danish Aerospace

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Danish Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.207.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.746.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Danish Aerospace

For every potential investor in Danish, whether a beginner or expert, Danish Aerospace's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Danish Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Danish. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Danish Aerospace's price trends.

Danish Aerospace Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Danish Aerospace stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Danish Aerospace could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Danish Aerospace by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Danish Aerospace Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Danish Aerospace's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Danish Aerospace's current price.

Danish Aerospace Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Danish Aerospace stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Danish Aerospace shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Danish Aerospace stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Danish Aerospace entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Danish Aerospace Risk Indicators

The analysis of Danish Aerospace's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Danish Aerospace's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting danish stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Danish Aerospace

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Danish Aerospace position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Danish Aerospace will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Danish Stock

  0.65STG Scandinavian TobaccoPairCorr

Moving against Danish Stock

  0.65MAERSK-A AP MllerPairCorr
  0.64MAERSK-B AP MllerPairCorr
  0.57FLS FLSmidthPairCorr
  0.41PNDORA Pandora ASPairCorr
  0.35DSV DSV Panalpina ASPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Danish Aerospace could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Danish Aerospace when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Danish Aerospace - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Danish Aerospace to buy it.
The correlation of Danish Aerospace is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Danish Aerospace moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Danish Aerospace moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Danish Aerospace can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Danish Stock

Danish Aerospace financial ratios help investors to determine whether Danish Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Danish with respect to the benefits of owning Danish Aerospace security.