Dada Nexus Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

DADADelisted Stock  USD 1.96  0.01  0.51%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dada Nexus on the next trading day is expected to be 1.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.98. Dada Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dada Nexus stock prices and determine the direction of Dada Nexus's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dada Nexus' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Dada Nexus' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dada Nexus' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dada Nexus, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Dada Nexus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dada Nexus from the perspective of Dada Nexus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dada Nexus on the next trading day is expected to be 1.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.98.

Dada Nexus after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Dada Nexus Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dada price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dada using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dada charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Dada Nexus is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Dada Nexus value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Dada Nexus Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dada Nexus on the next trading day is expected to be 1.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dada Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dada Nexus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dada Nexus Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dada NexusDada Nexus Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dada Nexus stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dada Nexus stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.4802
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0161
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0082
SAESum of the absolute errors0.982
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Dada Nexus. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Dada Nexus. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Dada Nexus

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dada Nexus. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dada Nexus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.961.961.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.681.682.16
Details

Dada Nexus Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dada Nexus stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dada Nexus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dada Nexus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dada Nexus Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dada Nexus stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dada Nexus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dada Nexus stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dada Nexus entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dada Nexus Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dada Nexus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dada Nexus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dada stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

Other Consideration for investing in Dada Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Dada Nexus check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Dada Nexus' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Equity Search
Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine