Dai-ichi Life Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

DCNSFDelisted Stock  USD 25.48  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Dai ichi Life Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 27.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.15. Dai-ichi Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dai-ichi Life's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Dai-ichi Life polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Dai ichi Life Holdings as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Dai-ichi Life Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Dai ichi Life Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 27.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02, mean absolute percentage error of 1.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dai-ichi Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dai-ichi Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dai-ichi Life Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dai-ichi Life pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dai-ichi Life pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5183
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0189
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0384
SAESum of the absolute errors62.1525
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Dai-ichi Life historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Dai-ichi Life

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dai ichi Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dai-ichi Life's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.4825.4825.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.2822.2828.03
Details

Dai-ichi Life Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dai-ichi Life pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dai-ichi Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dai-ichi Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dai-ichi Life Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dai-ichi Life pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dai-ichi Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dai-ichi Life pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Dai ichi Life Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dai-ichi Life Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dai-ichi Life's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dai-ichi Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dai-ichi pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Other Consideration for investing in Dai-ichi Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Dai ichi Life check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Dai-ichi Life's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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