Diagnos Laboratorium Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

DGNS Stock  IDR 220.00  4.00  1.79%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Diagnos Laboratorium Utama on the next trading day is expected to be 231.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 21.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 871.90. Diagnos Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Diagnos Laboratorium Utama is based on a synthetically constructed Diagnos Laboratoriumdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Diagnos Laboratorium 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Diagnos Laboratorium Utama on the next trading day is expected to be 231.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 21.27, mean absolute percentage error of 627.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 871.90.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diagnos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diagnos Laboratorium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Diagnos Laboratorium Stock Forecast Pattern

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Diagnos Laboratorium Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Diagnos Laboratorium's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Diagnos Laboratorium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 228.38 and 235.42, respectively. We have considered Diagnos Laboratorium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
220.00
228.38
Downside
231.90
Expected Value
235.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diagnos Laboratorium stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diagnos Laboratorium stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria87.7954
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 20.8902
MADMean absolute deviation21.2659
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0859
SAESum of the absolute errors871.9
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Diagnos Laboratorium 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Diagnos Laboratorium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diagnos Laboratorium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
216.48220.00223.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
204.80208.32242.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
216.51227.40238.29
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Diagnos Laboratorium

For every potential investor in Diagnos, whether a beginner or expert, Diagnos Laboratorium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Diagnos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Diagnos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Diagnos Laboratorium's price trends.

Diagnos Laboratorium Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Diagnos Laboratorium stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Diagnos Laboratorium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Diagnos Laboratorium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Diagnos Laboratorium Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Diagnos Laboratorium's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Diagnos Laboratorium's current price.

Diagnos Laboratorium Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Diagnos Laboratorium stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Diagnos Laboratorium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Diagnos Laboratorium stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Diagnos Laboratorium Utama entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Diagnos Laboratorium Risk Indicators

The analysis of Diagnos Laboratorium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Diagnos Laboratorium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting diagnos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Diagnos Stock

Diagnos Laboratorium financial ratios help investors to determine whether Diagnos Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Diagnos with respect to the benefits of owning Diagnos Laboratorium security.