Dominion Energy Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

DOD Stock  EUR 56.77  0.59  1.05%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dominion Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 56.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.00. Dominion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dominion Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Dominion Energy - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Dominion Energy prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Dominion Energy price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Dominion Energy.

Dominion Energy Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dominion Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 56.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 0.67, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dominion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dominion Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dominion Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

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Dominion Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dominion Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dominion Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 55.32 and 58.28, respectively. We have considered Dominion Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
56.77
56.80
Expected Value
58.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dominion Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dominion Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0607
MADMean absolute deviation0.6271
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0117
SAESum of the absolute errors37.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Dominion Energy observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Dominion Energy observations.

Predictive Modules for Dominion Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dominion Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.2956.7758.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.3545.8362.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dominion Energy

For every potential investor in Dominion, whether a beginner or expert, Dominion Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dominion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dominion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dominion Energy's price trends.

Dominion Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dominion Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dominion Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dominion Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dominion Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dominion Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dominion Energy's current price.

Dominion Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dominion Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dominion Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dominion Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dominion Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dominion Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dominion Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dominion Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dominion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Dominion Stock

When determining whether Dominion Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dominion Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dominion Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dominion Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dominion Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Dominion Stock please use our How to Invest in Dominion Energy guide.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Dominion Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dominion Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dominion Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.