DICKS Sporting Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

DSG Stock  EUR 184.82  4.26  2.36%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DICKS Sporting Goods on the next trading day is expected to be 184.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 233.14. DICKS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DICKS Sporting's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for DICKS Sporting is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of DICKS Sporting Goods value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

DICKS Sporting Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of DICKS Sporting Goods on the next trading day is expected to be 184.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.82, mean absolute percentage error of 20.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 233.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DICKS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DICKS Sporting's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DICKS Sporting Stock Forecast Pattern

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DICKS Sporting Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DICKS Sporting's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DICKS Sporting's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 182.36 and 186.60, respectively. We have considered DICKS Sporting's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
184.82
182.36
Downside
184.48
Expected Value
186.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DICKS Sporting stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DICKS Sporting stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.1124
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.822
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0203
SAESum of the absolute errors233.1397
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of DICKS Sporting Goods. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict DICKS Sporting. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for DICKS Sporting

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DICKS Sporting Goods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
182.70184.82186.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
182.70184.82186.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
176.52186.49196.46
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DICKS Sporting

For every potential investor in DICKS, whether a beginner or expert, DICKS Sporting's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DICKS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DICKS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DICKS Sporting's price trends.

DICKS Sporting Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DICKS Sporting stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DICKS Sporting could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DICKS Sporting by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DICKS Sporting Goods Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DICKS Sporting's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DICKS Sporting's current price.

DICKS Sporting Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DICKS Sporting stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DICKS Sporting shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DICKS Sporting stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DICKS Sporting Goods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DICKS Sporting Risk Indicators

The analysis of DICKS Sporting's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DICKS Sporting's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dicks stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in DICKS Stock

When determining whether DICKS Sporting Goods is a strong investment it is important to analyze DICKS Sporting's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact DICKS Sporting's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding DICKS Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DICKS Sporting to cross-verify your projections.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between DICKS Sporting's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DICKS Sporting is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DICKS Sporting's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.