Smith PLC Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

DSSMYDelisted Stock  USD 30.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Smith PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 28.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.87. Smith Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Smith PLC's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Smith PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Smith PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Smith PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smith PLC from the perspective of Smith PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Smith PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 28.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.87.

Smith PLC after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 30.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Smith PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Smith price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smith using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smith charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Smith PLC polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Smith PLC as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Smith PLC Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Smith PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 28.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Smith Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Smith PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Smith PLC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Smith PLCSmith PLC Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Smith PLC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Smith PLC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8451
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3093
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors18.8663
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Smith PLC historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Smith PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Smith PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.0030.0030.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7324.7333.00
Details

Smith PLC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Smith PLC pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Smith PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Smith PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Smith PLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Smith PLC pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Smith PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Smith PLC pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Smith PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Smith PLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of Smith PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Smith PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smith pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

Other Consideration for investing in Smith Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Smith PLC check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Smith PLC's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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