EFZ Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EFZ Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine EFZ price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EFZ using various technical indicators. When you analyze EFZ charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for EFZ is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of EFZ value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

EFZ Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of EFZ on the next trading day is expected to be 13.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.81.

EFZ Stock Forecast Pattern

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EFZ Price Prediction

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EFZ stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EFZ stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of EFZ. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict EFZ. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for EFZ

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EFZ. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 12.87 13.33 13.79 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 12.00 15.71 16.17 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 12.93 13.20 13.47 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EFZ. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EFZ's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EFZ's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in EFZ.

EFZ After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

EFZ Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

EFZ Stock Price Prediction Analysis

EFZ Hype Timeline

EFZ is currently traded for 13.33on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. EFZ is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on EFZ is about 567.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.31. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

EFZ Related Hype Analysis

EFZ Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

EFZ Market Strength Events

EFZ Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for EFZ

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Consideration for investing in EFZ Stock