EMLDU Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EMLDUDelisted Stock  USD 12.00  0.14  1.15%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of EMLDU Old on the next trading day is expected to be 11.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.85. EMLDU Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for EMLDU Old is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of EMLDU Old value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

EMLDU Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of EMLDU Old on the next trading day is expected to be 11.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EMLDU Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EMLDU Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EMLDU Old Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EMLDU Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EMLDU Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.7563
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2271
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0204
SAESum of the absolute errors13.8536
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of EMLDU Old. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict EMLDU Old. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for EMLDU Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EMLDU Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EMLDU Old's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0012.0012.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.959.9513.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.6311.2411.84
Details

EMLDU Old Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EMLDU Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EMLDU Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EMLDU Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EMLDU Old Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EMLDU Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EMLDU Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EMLDU Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EMLDU Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

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You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Other Consideration for investing in EMLDU Stock

If you are still planning to invest in EMLDU Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the EMLDU Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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