Esprit Holdings Pink Sheet Forward View
| ESPGYDelisted Stock | USD 0.06 0 2.02% |
Esprit Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Esprit Holdings' share price is approaching 39 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Esprit Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Esprit Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Esprit Holdings from the perspective of Esprit Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Esprit Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.93. Esprit Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 0.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Esprit |
Esprit Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Esprit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Esprit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Esprit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Esprit Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Esprit Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Esprit Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Esprit Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Esprit Holdings Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Esprit Holdings | Esprit Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Esprit Holdings pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Esprit Holdings pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.0183 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.13 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.3751 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.9272 |
Predictive Modules for Esprit Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Esprit Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Esprit Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Esprit Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Esprit Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Esprit Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Esprit Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Esprit Holdings' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Esprit Holdings' historical news coverage. Esprit Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 0.06, respectively. We have considered Esprit Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Esprit Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Esprit Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Esprit Holdings Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Esprit Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Esprit Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Esprit Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.06 | 0.06 | 2.92 |
|
Esprit Holdings Hype Timeline
Esprit Holdings is currently traded for 0.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Esprit is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 2.92%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Esprit Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.Esprit Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Esprit Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Esprit Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Esprit Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Esprit Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DBGI | Digital Brands Group | 0.49 | 7 per month | 8.49 | 0.03 | 13.60 | (12.56) | 48.10 | |
| GMELF | GOME Retail Holdings | (0.54) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PKSGY | PARKSON Retail Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GBXXY | Grand Baoxin Auto | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BSHI | Boss Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.28 | |
| TWRKF | TheWorkscouk Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PRKA | Parks America | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | (0.02) | 1.35 | (1.39) | 17.93 | |
| KICK | HPN Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ENMHF | ENM Holdings Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.33 | |
| DPNEF | Daphne International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Esprit Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Esprit Holdings pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Esprit Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Esprit Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Esprit Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Esprit Holdings pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Esprit Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Esprit Holdings pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Esprit Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Esprit Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Esprit Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Esprit Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting esprit pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 20.69 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 15.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 71.39 | |||
| Variance | 5097.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 478.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 232.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (34.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Esprit Holdings
The number of cover stories for Esprit Holdings depends on current market conditions and Esprit Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Esprit Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Esprit Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Other Consideration for investing in Esprit Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Esprit Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Esprit Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device |