Evergold Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

EVGUF Stock  USD 0.01  0  11.11%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Evergold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24. Evergold Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Evergold Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Evergold Corp is based on a synthetically constructed Evergold Corpdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Evergold Corp 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Evergold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000048, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.24.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Evergold Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Evergold Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Evergold Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Evergold Corp Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Evergold Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Evergold Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 15.84, respectively. We have considered Evergold Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.0001
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
15.84
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Evergold Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Evergold Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria71.3992
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0031
MADMean absolute deviation0.0058
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.4695
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2385
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Evergold Corp 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Evergold Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Evergold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Evergold Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0115.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0115.84
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Evergold Corp

For every potential investor in Evergold, whether a beginner or expert, Evergold Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Evergold Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Evergold. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Evergold Corp's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Evergold Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Evergold Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Evergold Corp's current price.

Evergold Corp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Evergold Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Evergold Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Evergold Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Evergold Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Evergold Corp Risk Indicators

The analysis of Evergold Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Evergold Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting evergold pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Evergold Pink Sheet

Evergold Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Evergold Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Evergold with respect to the benefits of owning Evergold Corp security.