Excelsior Mining OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

EXMGFDelisted Stock  USD 0.13  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Excelsior Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30. Excelsior OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Excelsior Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 25th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Excelsior Mining's share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Excelsior Mining Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Excelsior Mining shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Excelsior Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Excelsior Mining and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Excelsior Mining's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Excelsior Mining Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Excelsior Mining based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Excelsior Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Excelsior Mining Corp from the perspective of Excelsior Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Excelsior Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30.

Excelsior Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.13  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Excelsior Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Excelsior price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Excelsior using various technical indicators. When you analyze Excelsior charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Excelsior Mining is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Excelsior Mining Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Excelsior Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Excelsior Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000044, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Excelsior OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Excelsior Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Excelsior Mining OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Excelsior MiningExcelsior Mining Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Excelsior Mining otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Excelsior Mining otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.0861
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.005
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0404
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3043
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Excelsior Mining Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Excelsior Mining. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Excelsior Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Excelsior Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.130.130.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.110.110.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Excelsior Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Excelsior Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Excelsior Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Excelsior Mining Corp.

Excelsior Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Excelsior Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Excelsior Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Excelsior Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Excelsior Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Excelsior Mining's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Excelsior Mining's historical news coverage. Excelsior Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 0.13, respectively. We have considered Excelsior Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.13
0.13
After-hype Price
0.13
Upside
Excelsior Mining is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Excelsior Mining Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Excelsior Mining OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Excelsior Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Excelsior Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Excelsior Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.13
0.13
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Excelsior Mining Hype Timeline

Excelsior Mining Corp is currently traded for 0.13. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Excelsior is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Excelsior Mining is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.13. About 47.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Excelsior Mining Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Excelsior Mining Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Excelsior Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Excelsior Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Excelsior Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Excelsior Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Excelsior Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Excelsior Mining otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Excelsior Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Excelsior Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Excelsior Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Excelsior Mining otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Excelsior Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Excelsior Mining otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Excelsior Mining Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Excelsior Mining

The number of cover stories for Excelsior Mining depends on current market conditions and Excelsior Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Excelsior Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Excelsior Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Note that the Excelsior Mining Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Excelsior Mining's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Excelsior OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Excelsior Mining Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Excelsior Mining's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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