Exclusive Networks Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

Summary

EXNWFDelisted Stock

25.30 0.00 0.00%

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Exclusive Networks SA on the next trading day is expected to be 25.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Exclusive Networks' stock prices and determine the direction of Exclusive Networks SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Exclusive Networks' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

A naive forecasting model for Exclusive Networks is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Exclusive Networks SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

More About Naive Prediction All Equity Analysis

Exclusive Networks Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Exclusive Networks SA on the next trading day is expected to be 25.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Exclusive Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Exclusive Networks' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Exclusive Networks Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Exclusive Networks pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Exclusive Networks pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	57.0706
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	None
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	0.0
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.0
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	0.0

This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Exclusive Networks SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Exclusive Networks. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Exclusive Networks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exclusive Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exclusive Networks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Exclusive Networks Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Exclusive Networks pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Exclusive Networks could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Exclusive Networks by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.

Cielo SA Darktrace Plc Software Aktiengesellschaft Foxconn Technology Co Legend Holdings Network International Holdings Casio Computer CoLtd Network International Holdings Esker SA American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup SentinelOne

Risk & Return

Correlation

Exclusive Networks Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Exclusive Networks pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Exclusive Networks shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Exclusive Networks pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Exclusive Networks SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

	Rate Of Daily Change	1.0
	Day Median Price	25.3
	Day Typical Price	25.3

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Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.

You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Other Consideration for investing in Exclusive Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Exclusive Networks check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Exclusive Networks' history and understand the potential risks before investing.

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