First Citizens Pink Sheet Forward View
| FIZNDelisted Stock | USD 69.75 0.00 0.00% |
First Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of First Citizens' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using First Citizens hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Citizens Bancshares from the perspective of First Citizens response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of First Citizens Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 69.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. First Citizens after-hype prediction price | USD 69.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
First Citizens Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
First Citizens Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of First Citizens Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 69.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict First Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that First Citizens' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
First Citizens Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest First Citizens | First Citizens Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Citizens pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Citizens pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for First Citizens
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Citizens Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.First Citizens After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Citizens at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Citizens or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of First Citizens, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Citizens Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Citizens' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Citizens' historical news coverage. First Citizens' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.75 and 69.75, respectively. We have considered First Citizens' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Citizens is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Citizens Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Citizens Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Citizens is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Citizens backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Citizens, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
69.75 | 69.75 | 0.00 |
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First Citizens Hype Timeline
First Citizens Bancshares is currently traded for 69.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. First is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on First Citizens is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.75. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.23. First Citizens Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2023. The entity had 4:1 split on the 16th of June 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.First Citizens Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Citizens' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Citizens' future price movements. Getting to know how First Citizens' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Citizens may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FNRN | First Northern Community | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1.64 | (0.22) | 3.04 | |
| MLGF | Malaga Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.02 | 2.47 | (2.92) | 12.28 | |
| EXSR | Exchange Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.63 | 0.11 | 4.23 | (2.85) | 15.06 | |
| TSCFY | TISCO Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FFMH | First Farmers and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.22 | 1.40 | (0.60) | 3.26 | |
| MFGI | Merchants Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.38 | 2.13 | (0.33) | 4.20 | |
| CBTN | Citizens Bancorp Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.20 | 0.1 | 1.55 | (0.46) | 4.55 | |
| FIEB | First IC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.00 | (0.23) | 6.00 | |
| SYNNF | Symphony International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | |
| UBAB | United Bancorporation of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.33 | (1.48) | 3.50 |
First Citizens Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Citizens pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Citizens could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Citizens by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
First Citizens Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Citizens pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Citizens shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Citizens pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify First Citizens Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
First Citizens Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Citizens' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Citizens' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.0151 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.0621 | |||
| Variance | 0.0039 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for First Citizens
The number of cover stories for First Citizens depends on current market conditions and First Citizens' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Citizens is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Citizens' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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First Citizens Short Properties
First Citizens' future price predictability will typically decrease when First Citizens' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Citizens Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Citizens' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Citizens' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 5.5 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.4 | |
| Shares Float | 3.8 M |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Other Consideration for investing in First Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in First Citizens Bancshares check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the First Citizens' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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