Franklin FTSE Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

FLBR Etf  USD 16.80  0.29  1.76%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin FTSE Brazil on the next trading day is expected to be 16.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.92. Franklin Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Franklin FTSE works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Franklin FTSE Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin FTSE Brazil on the next trading day is expected to be 16.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin FTSE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Franklin FTSE Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Franklin FTSEFranklin FTSE Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Franklin FTSE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Franklin FTSE's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin FTSE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.52 and 17.91, respectively. We have considered Franklin FTSE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.80
16.72
Expected Value
17.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin FTSE etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin FTSE etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0558
MADMean absolute deviation0.1654
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0094
SAESum of the absolute errors9.9217
When Franklin FTSE Brazil prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Franklin FTSE Brazil trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Franklin FTSE observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Franklin FTSE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin FTSE Brazil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.6016.7917.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7616.9518.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.2717.1117.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin FTSE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin FTSE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin FTSE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin FTSE Brazil.

Other Forecasting Options for Franklin FTSE

For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin FTSE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin FTSE's price trends.

Franklin FTSE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin FTSE etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin FTSE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin FTSE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Franklin FTSE Brazil Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Franklin FTSE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Franklin FTSE's current price.

Franklin FTSE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin FTSE etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin FTSE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin FTSE etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin FTSE Brazil entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Franklin FTSE Risk Indicators

The analysis of Franklin FTSE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin FTSE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Franklin FTSE

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Franklin FTSE position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Franklin FTSE will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Franklin Etf

  0.98EWZ iShares MSCI BrazilPairCorr
  0.94ILF iShares Latin AmericaPairCorr
  0.98EWZS iShares MSCI BrazilPairCorr
  0.98FLLA Franklin FTSE LatinPairCorr

Moving against Franklin Etf

  0.85EOS Eaton Vance EnhancedPairCorr
  0.85MSTY YieldMax MSTR OptionPairCorr
  0.78BTC Grayscale Bitcoin MiniPairCorr
  0.75VBK Vanguard Small CapPairCorr
  0.74DISO Tidal Trust IIPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Franklin FTSE could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Franklin FTSE when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Franklin FTSE - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Franklin FTSE Brazil to buy it.
The correlation of Franklin FTSE is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Franklin FTSE moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Franklin FTSE Brazil moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Franklin FTSE can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Franklin FTSE Brazil is a strong investment it is important to analyze Franklin FTSE's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Franklin FTSE's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Franklin Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin FTSE to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
The market value of Franklin FTSE Brazil is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin FTSE's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin FTSE's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin FTSE's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin FTSE's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin FTSE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin FTSE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin FTSE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.