Ft 9331: Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

FLQTVX Fund   758.50  1.36  0.18%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ft 9331 Corporate on the next trading day is expected to be 758.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.00. FLQTVX Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Ft 9331: simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Ft 9331 Corporate are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Ft 9331 Corporate prices get older.

Ft 9331: Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ft 9331 Corporate on the next trading day is expected to be 758.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05, mean absolute percentage error of 1.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 63.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FLQTVX Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ft 9331:'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ft 9331: Fund Forecast Pattern

Ft 9331: Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ft 9331:'s Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ft 9331:'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 758.32 and 758.68, respectively. We have considered Ft 9331:'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
758.50
758.32
Downside
758.50
Expected Value
758.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ft 9331: fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ft 9331: fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9121
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0573
MADMean absolute deviation1.05
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0014
SAESum of the absolute errors63.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Ft 9331 Corporate forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Ft 9331: observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Ft 9331:

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ft 9331 Corporate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ft 9331:'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
758.32758.50758.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
728.47728.65834.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
752.35755.83759.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ft 9331:

For every potential investor in FLQTVX, whether a beginner or expert, Ft 9331:'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FLQTVX Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FLQTVX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ft 9331:'s price trends.

Ft 9331: Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ft 9331: fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ft 9331: could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ft 9331: by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ft 9331 Corporate Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ft 9331:'s price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ft 9331:'s current price.

Ft 9331: Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ft 9331: fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ft 9331: shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ft 9331: fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Ft 9331 Corporate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ft 9331: Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ft 9331:'s basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ft 9331:'s investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flqtvx fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in FLQTVX Fund

Ft 9331: financial ratios help investors to determine whether FLQTVX Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FLQTVX with respect to the benefits of owning Ft 9331: security.
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