FMTO New Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FMTO Stock | 3.53 0.82 18.85% |
FMTO Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of FMTO New's share price is approaching 37. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FMTO New, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FMTO New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FMTO New from the perspective of FMTO New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of FMTO New on the next trading day is expected to be 71.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 55.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,387. FMTO New after-hype prediction price | $ 3.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. FMTO New Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FMTO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FMTO using various technical indicators. When you analyze FMTO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FMTO New Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of FMTO New on the next trading day is expected to be 71.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 55.53, mean absolute percentage error of 23,414, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3,387.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FMTO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FMTO New's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FMTO New Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FMTO New | FMTO New Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FMTO New stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FMTO New stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 128.1716 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 55.5304 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 3.5633 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3387.3559 |
Predictive Modules for FMTO New
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FMTO New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FMTO New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FMTO New After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FMTO New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FMTO New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FMTO New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FMTO New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FMTO New's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FMTO New's historical news coverage. FMTO New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.53 and 3.53, respectively. We have considered FMTO New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FMTO New is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FMTO New is based on 3 months time horizon.
FMTO New Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FMTO New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FMTO New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FMTO New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.53 | 3.53 | 0.00 |
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FMTO New Hype Timeline
FMTO New is currently traded for 3.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FMTO is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on FMTO New is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.53. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.18. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FMTO New recorded a loss per share of 950.08. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:17 split on the 26th of August 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.FMTO New Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FMTO New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FMTO New's future price movements. Getting to know how FMTO New's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FMTO New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NITO | N2OFF Inc | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 7.69 | (9.94) | 30.79 | |
| BHIL | Benson Hill Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| YTEN | Yield10 Bioscience | 0.18 | 36 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HYMC | Hycroft Mining Holding | (0.16) | 10 per month | 4.18 | 0.32 | 18.67 | (8.03) | 61.30 | |
| BYU | BAIYU Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KMCM | Key Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
FMTO New Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FMTO New stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FMTO New could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FMTO New by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FMTO New Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FMTO New stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FMTO New shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FMTO New stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FMTO New entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for FMTO New
The number of cover stories for FMTO New depends on current market conditions and FMTO New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FMTO New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FMTO New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FMTO New Short Properties
FMTO New's future price predictability will typically decrease when FMTO New's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FMTO New often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FMTO New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FMTO New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 651.8 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 M |
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FMTO New. If investors know FMTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FMTO New listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of FMTO New is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FMTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FMTO New's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FMTO New's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FMTO New's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FMTO New's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FMTO New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FMTO New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FMTO New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.