Fenix Outdoor Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FOI-B Stock | SEK 601.00 2.00 0.33% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fenix Outdoor International on the next trading day is expected to be 593.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 364.82. Fenix Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Fenix Outdoor Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fenix Outdoor International on the next trading day is expected to be 593.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.98, mean absolute percentage error of 58.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 364.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fenix Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fenix Outdoor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fenix Outdoor Stock Forecast Pattern
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Fenix Outdoor Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fenix Outdoor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fenix Outdoor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 591.81 and 594.24, respectively. We have considered Fenix Outdoor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fenix Outdoor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fenix Outdoor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.1876 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.9806 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0097 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 364.8177 |
Predictive Modules for Fenix Outdoor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fenix Outdoor Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Fenix Outdoor
For every potential investor in Fenix, whether a beginner or expert, Fenix Outdoor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fenix Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fenix. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fenix Outdoor's price trends.Fenix Outdoor Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fenix Outdoor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fenix Outdoor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fenix Outdoor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fenix Outdoor Intern Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fenix Outdoor's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fenix Outdoor's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Fenix Outdoor Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fenix Outdoor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fenix Outdoor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fenix Outdoor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fenix Outdoor International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fenix Outdoor Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fenix Outdoor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fenix Outdoor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fenix stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9561 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Variance | 1.48 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Fenix Stock Analysis
When running Fenix Outdoor's price analysis, check to measure Fenix Outdoor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fenix Outdoor is operating at the current time. Most of Fenix Outdoor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fenix Outdoor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fenix Outdoor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fenix Outdoor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.