Fossil Group Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| FOSLLDelisted Stock | USD 17.01 0.00 0.00% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Fossil Group 7 on the next trading day is expected to be 17.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.81. Fossil Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of Fossil Group's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fossil Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fossil Group 7 from the perspective of Fossil Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Fossil Group 7 on the next trading day is expected to be 17.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.81. Fossil Group after-hype prediction price | USD 17.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fossil |
Fossil Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fossil price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fossil using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fossil charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fossil Group Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Fossil Group 7 on the next trading day is expected to be 17.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73, mean absolute percentage error of 0.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.81.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fossil Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fossil Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fossil Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fossil Group | Fossil Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fossil Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fossil Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0313 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7346 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0392 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.8133 |
Predictive Modules for Fossil Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fossil Group 7. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fossil Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fossil Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fossil Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fossil Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fossil Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fossil Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fossil Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fossil Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fossil Group 7 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fossil Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fossil Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fossil Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fossil stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.68 | |||
| Variance | 13.53 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Other Consideration for investing in Fossil Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Fossil Group 7 check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fossil Group's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Funds Screener Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data |