FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

FR7H Stock  EUR 2.80  0.10  3.70%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR 1 on the next trading day is expected to be 2.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.14. FAST Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through FAST RETAILCOSPHDR price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR 1 on the next trading day is expected to be 2.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.14.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FAST Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest FAST RETAILCOSPHDRFAST RETAILCOSPHDR Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 7.52, respectively. We have considered FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.80
2.87
Expected Value
7.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FAST RETAILCOSPHDR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.3397
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1007
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0353
SAESum of the absolute errors6.1404
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as FAST RETAILCOSPHDR 1 historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for FAST RETAILCOSPHDR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FAST RETAILCOSPHDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.807.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.437.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FAST RETAILCOSPHDR. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FAST RETAILCOSPHDR.

Other Forecasting Options for FAST RETAILCOSPHDR

For every potential investor in FAST, whether a beginner or expert, FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FAST Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FAST. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's price trends.

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FAST RETAILCOSPHDR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FAST RETAILCOSPHDR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's current price.

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FAST RETAILCOSPHDR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FAST RETAILCOSPHDR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FAST RETAILCOSPHDR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FAST RETAILCOSPHDR 1 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR Risk Indicators

The analysis of FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FAST RETAILCOSPHDR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fast stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in FAST Stock

FAST RETAILCOSPHDR financial ratios help investors to determine whether FAST Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FAST with respect to the benefits of owning FAST RETAILCOSPHDR security.