FREYR Battery Stock Forward View

FREYDelisted Stock  USD 1.33  0.03  2.31%   
FREYR Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of FREYR Battery's share price is approaching 47. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FREYR Battery, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 47

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of FREYR Battery's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FREYR Battery SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using FREYR Battery hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FREYR Battery SA from the perspective of FREYR Battery response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of FREYR Battery SA on the next trading day is expected to be 1.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.09.

FREYR Battery after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.33  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

FREYR Battery Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FREYR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FREYR using various technical indicators. When you analyze FREYR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for FREYR Battery is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of FREYR Battery SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

FREYR Battery Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of FREYR Battery SA on the next trading day is expected to be 1.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FREYR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FREYR Battery's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FREYR Battery Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest FREYR Battery  FREYR Battery Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FREYR Battery stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FREYR Battery stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.9178
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0999
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0692
SAESum of the absolute errors6.0942
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of FREYR Battery SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict FREYR Battery. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for FREYR Battery

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FREYR Battery SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FREYR Battery's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.331.331.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.221.221.46
Details

FREYR Battery After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FREYR Battery at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FREYR Battery or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FREYR Battery, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

FREYR Battery Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FREYR Battery's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FREYR Battery's historical news coverage. FREYR Battery's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.33 and 1.33, respectively. We have considered FREYR Battery's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.33
1.33
After-hype Price
1.33
Upside
FREYR Battery is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FREYR Battery SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

FREYR Battery Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FREYR Battery is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FREYR Battery backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FREYR Battery, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
2 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.33
1.33
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

FREYR Battery Hype Timeline

FREYR Battery SA is currently traded for 1.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FREYR is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on FREYR Battery is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.33. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FREYR Battery SA recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

FREYR Battery Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FREYR Battery's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FREYR Battery's future price movements. Getting to know how FREYR Battery's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FREYR Battery may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

FREYR Battery Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FREYR Battery stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FREYR Battery could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FREYR Battery by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FREYR Battery Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FREYR Battery stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FREYR Battery shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FREYR Battery stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FREYR Battery SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FREYR Battery Risk Indicators

The analysis of FREYR Battery's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FREYR Battery's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting freyr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for FREYR Battery

The number of cover stories for FREYR Battery depends on current market conditions and FREYR Battery's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FREYR Battery is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FREYR Battery's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

FREYR Battery Short Properties

FREYR Battery's future price predictability will typically decrease when FREYR Battery's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FREYR Battery SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FREYR Battery's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FREYR Battery's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding139.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments277.2 M
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Other Consideration for investing in FREYR Stock

If you are still planning to invest in FREYR Battery SA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the FREYR Battery's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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