FirsTime Design Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FTDLDelisted Stock | USD 0.0003 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FirsTime Design on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. FirsTime Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of FirsTime Design's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FirsTime Design hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FirsTime Design from the perspective of FirsTime Design response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FirsTime Design on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. FirsTime Design after-hype prediction price | USD 3.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FirsTime |
FirsTime Design Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FirsTime price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FirsTime using various technical indicators. When you analyze FirsTime charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FirsTime Design Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FirsTime Design on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FirsTime Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FirsTime Design's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FirsTime Design Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FirsTime Design | FirsTime Design Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FirsTime Design pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FirsTime Design pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for FirsTime Design
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FirsTime Design. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FirsTime Design's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FirsTime Design After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FirsTime Design at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FirsTime Design or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of FirsTime Design, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FirsTime Design Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FirsTime Design's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FirsTime Design's historical news coverage. FirsTime Design's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered FirsTime Design's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FirsTime Design is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FirsTime Design is based on 3 months time horizon.
FirsTime Design Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FirsTime Design is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FirsTime Design backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FirsTime Design, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0003 | 0.0003 | 0.00 |
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FirsTime Design Hype Timeline
FirsTime Design is currently traded for 0.0003. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FirsTime is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on FirsTime Design is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FirsTime Design last dividend was issued on the 13th of July 2016. The entity had 1:10 split on the 22nd of February 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.FirsTime Design Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FirsTime Design's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FirsTime Design's future price movements. Getting to know how FirsTime Design's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FirsTime Design may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FUVV | Arcimoto | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 50.00 | 0.00 | 990.00 | |
| CZOO | Cazoo Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PWNX | Powerlinx | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ROBK | Rotate Black | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SCOO | School Specialty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ATCV | Atc Venture Grp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| POLCQ | Polished | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 33.33 | 0.00 | 150.00 | |
| AUNM | Auction Mills | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,038 | |
| SECOY | Secoo Holding Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | |
| ESWW | Environmental Solutions Worldwide | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 |
FirsTime Design Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FirsTime Design pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FirsTime Design could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FirsTime Design by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FirsTime Design Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FirsTime Design pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FirsTime Design shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FirsTime Design pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify FirsTime Design entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for FirsTime Design
The number of cover stories for FirsTime Design depends on current market conditions and FirsTime Design's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FirsTime Design is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FirsTime Design's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Other Consideration for investing in FirsTime Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in FirsTime Design check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the FirsTime Design's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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