Fubon Financial Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

FUIZFDelisted Stock  USD 16.33  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fubon Financial Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 16.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.32. Fubon Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fubon Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Fubon Financial's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fubon Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fubon Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fubon Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fubon Financial Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Fubon Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fubon Financial Holding from the perspective of Fubon Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fubon Financial Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 16.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.32.

Fubon Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.33  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Fubon Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fubon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fubon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fubon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Fubon Financial is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Fubon Financial Holding value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Fubon Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fubon Financial Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 16.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.32.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fubon Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fubon Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fubon Financial Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fubon FinancialFubon Financial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fubon Financial pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fubon Financial pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.2865
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0872
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0058
SAESum of the absolute errors5.3175
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Fubon Financial Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Fubon Financial. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Fubon Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fubon Financial Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3316.3316.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5713.5717.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.3014.9615.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fubon Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fubon Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fubon Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fubon Financial Holding.

Fubon Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fubon Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fubon Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Fubon Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fubon Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fubon Financial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fubon Financial's historical news coverage. Fubon Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.33 and 16.33, respectively. We have considered Fubon Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.33
16.33
After-hype Price
16.33
Upside
Fubon Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fubon Financial Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fubon Financial Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fubon Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fubon Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fubon Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.33
16.33
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Fubon Financial Hype Timeline

Fubon Financial Holding is currently traded for 16.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fubon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fubon Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.33. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.27. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fubon Financial Holding last dividend was issued on the 1st of August 2022. The entity had 1:1 split on the 27th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Fubon Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fubon Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fubon Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Fubon Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fubon Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Fubon Financial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fubon Financial pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fubon Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fubon Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fubon Financial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fubon Financial pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fubon Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fubon Financial pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Fubon Financial Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fubon Financial Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fubon Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fubon Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fubon pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Fubon Financial

The number of cover stories for Fubon Financial depends on current market conditions and Fubon Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fubon Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fubon Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

Other Consideration for investing in Fubon Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Fubon Financial Holding check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Fubon Financial's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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