Global Develpmts Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GDVMDelisted Stock | USD 0.01 0 24.74% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global Develpmts on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06. Global Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Global Develpmts' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Global Develpmts hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Develpmts from the perspective of Global Develpmts response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global Develpmts on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06. Global Develpmts after-hype prediction price | USD 0.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Global |
Global Develpmts Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Global Develpmts Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Global Develpmts on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000023, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global Develpmts' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Global Develpmts Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Global Develpmts | Global Develpmts Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global Develpmts pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global Develpmts pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 103.291 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0836 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0605 |
Predictive Modules for Global Develpmts
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Develpmts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Develpmts' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Global Develpmts After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Develpmts at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Develpmts or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Global Develpmts, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Develpmts Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Develpmts' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Develpmts' historical news coverage. Global Develpmts' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 0.01, respectively. We have considered Global Develpmts' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Develpmts is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Develpmts is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Develpmts Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Develpmts is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Develpmts backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Develpmts, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.01 | 0.01 | 17.36 |
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Global Develpmts Hype Timeline
Global Develpmts is currently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Global is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -17.36%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Global Develpmts is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.05. Global Develpmts had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1 split on the 5th of January 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private.Global Develpmts Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Develpmts' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Develpmts' future price movements. Getting to know how Global Develpmts' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Develpmts may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENGA | Engage Mobility | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CDBT | China Dasheng Biotechnology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 18.50 | 0.15 | 100.00 | (54.00) | 341.12 | |
| ASNB | AdvanSource Biomaterials | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FDOC | Fuel Doctor Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PROP | Prairie Operating Co | (0.10) | 20 per month | 3.79 | 0.01 | 8.28 | (6.83) | 21.34 | |
| TOGI | TurnOnGreen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 11.24 | (9.79) | 36.74 | |
| MTRI | Metro Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PGID | Peregrine Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | |
| EATBF | Eat Beyond Global | (0.04) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 12.29 | (15.19) | 40.97 | |
| TMIN | Trendmaker Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Global Develpmts Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global Develpmts pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global Develpmts could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Develpmts by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Global Develpmts Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global Develpmts pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global Develpmts shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global Develpmts pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Global Develpmts entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Global Develpmts Risk Indicators
The analysis of Global Develpmts' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Global Develpmts' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting global pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 9.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 13.96 | |||
| Variance | 194.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 112.8 | |||
| Semi Variance | 95.88 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (11.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Global Develpmts
The number of cover stories for Global Develpmts depends on current market conditions and Global Develpmts' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Develpmts is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Develpmts' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in private. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Other Consideration for investing in Global Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Global Develpmts check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Global Develpmts' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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