Gear Energy Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GENGFDelisted Stock | USD 0.33 0.00 0.00% |
Gear Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Gear Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Gear Energy's pink sheet price is roughly 60. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Gear, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gear Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gear Energy from the perspective of Gear Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gear Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.39. Gear Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 0.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gear |
Gear Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gear price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gear using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gear charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gear Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gear Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000088, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gear Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gear Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gear Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gear Energy | Gear Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gear Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gear Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.9382 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 8.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0065 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0181 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.39 |
Predictive Modules for Gear Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gear Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gear Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gear Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gear Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Gear Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gear Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gear Energy's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gear Energy's historical news coverage. Gear Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.33 and 0.33, respectively. We have considered Gear Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gear Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gear Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gear Energy Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gear Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gear Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gear Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.33 | 0.33 | 0.00 |
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Gear Energy Hype Timeline
Gear Energy is currently traded for 0.33. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gear is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gear Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.33. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.21. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gear Energy last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.Gear Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gear Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gear Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Gear Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gear Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VKIN | Viking Energy Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PTRDF | ROK Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ORXPF | Forza Petroleum Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OSG | Octave Specialty Group | (0.16) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 2.88 | (3.99) | 8.90 | |
| PXPEF | PXP Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GFGY | Granite Falls Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.25 | |
| APHE | Alpha Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FISOF | Fission 30 Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CAWLF | CWC Energy Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HLEGF | Helios Energy Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Gear Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gear Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gear Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gear Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gear Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gear Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gear Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gear Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Gear Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gear Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gear Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gear Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gear pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.6 | |||
| Variance | 6.77 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gear Energy
The number of cover stories for Gear Energy depends on current market conditions and Gear Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gear Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gear Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Other Consideration for investing in Gear Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Gear Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Gear Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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