Generic Sweden Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

GENI Stock  SEK 49.60  0.70  1.43%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Generic Sweden publ on the next trading day is expected to be 49.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.67. Generic Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Generic Sweden - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Generic Sweden prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Generic Sweden price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Generic Sweden publ.

Generic Sweden Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Generic Sweden publ on the next trading day is expected to be 49.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Generic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Generic Sweden's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Generic Sweden Stock Forecast Pattern

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Generic Sweden Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Generic Sweden's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Generic Sweden's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 48.23 and 51.71, respectively. We have considered Generic Sweden's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
49.60
49.97
Expected Value
51.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Generic Sweden stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Generic Sweden stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0326
MADMean absolute deviation0.5028
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0111
SAESum of the absolute errors29.6673
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Generic Sweden observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Generic Sweden publ observations.

Predictive Modules for Generic Sweden

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Generic Sweden publ. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
47.8449.6051.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.3140.0754.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
44.7947.6250.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Generic Sweden

For every potential investor in Generic, whether a beginner or expert, Generic Sweden's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Generic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Generic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Generic Sweden's price trends.

Generic Sweden Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Generic Sweden stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Generic Sweden could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Generic Sweden by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Generic Sweden publ Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Generic Sweden's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Generic Sweden's current price.

Generic Sweden Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Generic Sweden stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Generic Sweden shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Generic Sweden stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Generic Sweden publ entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Generic Sweden Risk Indicators

The analysis of Generic Sweden's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Generic Sweden's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting generic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Generic Stock Analysis

When running Generic Sweden's price analysis, check to measure Generic Sweden's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Generic Sweden is operating at the current time. Most of Generic Sweden's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Generic Sweden's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Generic Sweden's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Generic Sweden to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.