Guideline Geo Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

GGEO Stock  SEK 10.00  0.50  5.26%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Guideline Geo AB on the next trading day is expected to be 9.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.18. Guideline Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Guideline Geo AB is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Guideline Geo 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Guideline Geo AB on the next trading day is expected to be 9.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guideline Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guideline Geo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Guideline Geo Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Guideline GeoGuideline Geo Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Guideline Geo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Guideline Geo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Guideline Geo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.29 and 12.56, respectively. We have considered Guideline Geo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.00
9.43
Expected Value
12.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guideline Geo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guideline Geo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.4201
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0741
MADMean absolute deviation0.2136
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0245
SAESum of the absolute errors12.175
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Guideline Geo. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Guideline Geo AB and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Guideline Geo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guideline Geo AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.369.5012.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.497.6310.77
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Guideline Geo

For every potential investor in Guideline, whether a beginner or expert, Guideline Geo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Guideline Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Guideline. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Guideline Geo's price trends.

Guideline Geo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guideline Geo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guideline Geo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guideline Geo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Guideline Geo AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Guideline Geo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Guideline Geo's current price.

Guideline Geo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guideline Geo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guideline Geo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guideline Geo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Guideline Geo AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Guideline Geo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Guideline Geo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Guideline Geo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting guideline stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Guideline Stock Analysis

When running Guideline Geo's price analysis, check to measure Guideline Geo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guideline Geo is operating at the current time. Most of Guideline Geo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guideline Geo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guideline Geo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guideline Geo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.