Gulf Island Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GIFI Stock | USD 12.00 0.00 0.00% |
Gulf Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Gulf Island's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Gulf Island's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 87
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.14 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.34 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.39 | Wall Street Target Price 8 |
Using Gulf Island hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gulf Island Fabrication from the perspective of Gulf Island response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gulf Island using Gulf Island's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gulf using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gulf Island's stock price.
Gulf Island Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Gulf Island's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gulf. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gulf Island stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 6.9724 | Short Percent 0.0052 | Short Ratio 1.25 | Shares Short Prior Month 75 K | 50 Day MA 7.885 |
Gulf Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gulf Island Fabrication on the next trading day is expected to be 12.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.03.Gulf Island Fabrication Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gulf Island's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gulf. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gulf can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gulf Island Fabrication. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gulf Island's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gulf Island.
Gulf Island Implied Volatility | 0.73 |
Gulf Island's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gulf Island Fabrication stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gulf Island's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gulf Island stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gulf Island's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gulf Island Fabrication on the next trading day is expected to be 12.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.03. Gulf Island after-hype prediction price | USD 12.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Gulf Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Gulf Island's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Gulf Island's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Gulf Island stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Gulf Island's open interest, investors have to compare it to Gulf Island's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Gulf Island is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Gulf. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Gulf Island Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gulf price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gulf using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gulf charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gulf Island Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gulf Island Fabrication on the next trading day is expected to be 12.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gulf Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gulf Island's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gulf Island Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gulf Island | Gulf Island Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gulf Island stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gulf Island stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.2861 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1039 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1192 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0106 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.03 |
Predictive Modules for Gulf Island
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulf Island Fabrication. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gulf Island After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gulf Island at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gulf Island or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gulf Island, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gulf Island Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gulf Island's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gulf Island's historical news coverage. Gulf Island's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.17 and 18.83, respectively. We have considered Gulf Island's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gulf Island is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gulf Island Fabrication is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gulf Island Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gulf Island is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gulf Island backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gulf Island, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.95 | 6.83 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 5 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.00 | 12.00 | 0.00 |
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Gulf Island Hype Timeline
Gulf Island Fabrication is currently traded for 12.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. Gulf is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.95%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gulf Island is about 12886.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.95. About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Gulf Island was currently reported as 5.78. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of November 2017. Gulf Island Fabrication had 2:1 split on the 29th of October 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.Gulf Island Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gulf Island's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gulf Island's future price movements. Getting to know how Gulf Island's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gulf Island may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ESP | Espey Mfg Electronics | (0.82) | 6 per month | 1.80 | 0.20 | 4.38 | (3.02) | 10.00 | |
| MATH | Metalpha Technology Holding | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.94 | (6.21) | 19.54 | |
| EML | Eastern Co | 0.95 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.46 | (3.27) | 10.55 | |
| HUHU | HUHUTECH International Group | (0.41) | 8 per month | 4.57 | 0.05 | 11.46 | (9.45) | 31.09 | |
| TUSK | Mammoth Energy Services | (0.10) | 7 per month | 3.17 | 0.04 | 7.65 | (4.84) | 27.95 | |
| HURC | Hurco Companies | (0.15) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.10 | (3.44) | 11.27 | |
| SPAI | Safe Pro Group | 0.08 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 11.01 | (12.20) | 35.33 | |
| ULBI | Ultralife | (0.25) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.84 | (5.82) | 18.64 | |
| OPTT | Ocean Power Technologies | 0.01 | 10 per month | 6.95 | 0.03 | 22.81 | (9.52) | 38.97 | |
| SNT | Senstar Technologies | 0.10 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.06 | (7.90) | 27.00 |
Gulf Island Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gulf Island stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gulf Island could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gulf Island by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gulf Island Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gulf Island stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gulf Island shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gulf Island stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gulf Island Fabrication entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 8.0E-4 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.0 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 87.27 |
Gulf Island Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gulf Island's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gulf Island's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gulf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.19 | |||
| Variance | 38.27 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8578 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.66) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gulf Island
The number of cover stories for Gulf Island depends on current market conditions and Gulf Island's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gulf Island is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gulf Island's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gulf Island Short Properties
Gulf Island's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gulf Island's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gulf Island Fabrication often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gulf Island's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulf Island's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.1 M |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is there potential for Oil & Gas Equipment & Services market expansion? Will Gulf introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gulf Island. Market participants price Gulf higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Gulf Island listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Earnings Share 0.6 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Gulf Island Fabrication using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Gulf Island's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Gulf Island's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gulf Island's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gulf Island is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Gulf Island's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.