Grifols SA Pink Sheet Forward View - Polynomial Regression

GIFOFDelisted Stock  USD 8.82  0.00  0.00%   
Grifols Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Grifols SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Grifols SA's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Grifols SA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Grifols SA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Grifols SA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grifols SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Grifols SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grifols SA from the perspective of Grifols SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Grifols SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.41.

Grifols SA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.82  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

Grifols SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Grifols price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grifols using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grifols charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Grifols SA polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Grifols SA as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Grifols SA Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Grifols SA on the next trading day is expected to be 8.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.41.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Grifols Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Grifols SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Grifols SA Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Grifols SA  Grifols SA Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Grifols SA pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Grifols SA pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7889
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0887
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0103
SAESum of the absolute errors5.4116
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Grifols SA historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Grifols SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grifols SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.828.828.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.387.389.70
Details

Grifols SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Grifols SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grifols SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Grifols SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Grifols SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Grifols SA's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grifols SA's historical news coverage. Grifols SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.82 and 8.82, respectively. We have considered Grifols SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.82
8.82
After-hype Price
8.82
Upside
Grifols SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grifols SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Grifols SA Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grifols SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grifols SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grifols SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.82
8.82
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Grifols SA Hype Timeline

Grifols SA is currently traded for 8.82. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Grifols is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grifols SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.82. About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Grifols SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of June 2021. The firm had 2:1 split on the 4th of January 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

Grifols SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Grifols SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grifols SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Grifols SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grifols SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Grifols SA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Grifols SA pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Grifols SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grifols SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Grifols SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Grifols SA pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Grifols SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Grifols SA pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Grifols SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Grifols SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Grifols SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grifols SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting grifols pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Grifols SA

The number of cover stories for Grifols SA depends on current market conditions and Grifols SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grifols SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grifols SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Other Consideration for investing in Grifols Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Grifols SA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Grifols SA's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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