Great China Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Great China Mania on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Great Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Great China's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Great China's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Great China and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Great China's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Great China Mania, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Great China hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Great China Mania from the perspective of Great China response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Great China Mania on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Great China after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Great China to cross-verify your projections.

Great China Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Great price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Great using various technical indicators. When you analyze Great charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Great China is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Great China Mania value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Great China Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Great China Mania on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Great Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Great China's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Great China Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Great ChinaGreat China Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Great China Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Great China's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Great China's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Great China's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.00
Expected Value
0.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Great China pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Great China pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Great China Mania. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Great China. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Great China

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great China Mania. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Great China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Great China Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Great China is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Great China backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Great China, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
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0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.00
0.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Great China Hype Timeline

Great China Mania is currently traded for 0.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Great is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Great China is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.0. Great China Mania had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the 7th of January 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Great China to cross-verify your projections.

Great China Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Great China's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Great China's future price movements. Getting to know how Great China's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Great China may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GWTRGlobal Water Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 16.02 (18.27) 86.13 
INOHIn Ovations Hldgs 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DTIIDefense Technologies International 0.00 0 per month 20.94  0.11  40.54 (42.67) 1,999 
PVNOProVision Operation Systems 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WPURWaterPure International 0.00 0 per month 10.67  0.03  25.00 (19.05) 74.18 
JFILJubilant Flame International(0.03)3 per month 2.35  0.02  0.00 (4.33) 41.19 
SGLNSurgLine International 0.00 2 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VCONVicon Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ATGVFActive Energy Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00  0.00  50.00 
GERSGreenshift Corp 0.00 6 per month 0.00 (0.15) 0.00  0.00  24.17 

Other Forecasting Options for Great China

For every potential investor in Great, whether a beginner or expert, Great China's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Great Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Great. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Great China's price trends.

Great China Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Great China pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Great China could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Great China by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Story Coverage note for Great China

The number of cover stories for Great China depends on current market conditions and Great China's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Great China is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Great China's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for Great Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Great China's price analysis, check to measure Great China's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Great China is operating at the current time. Most of Great China's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Great China's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Great China's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Great China to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.