Global Medical Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GMRE Stock  USD 35.28  0.42  1.20%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Global Medical REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 35.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.09. Global Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Global Medical stock prices and determine the direction of Global Medical REIT's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Global Medical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Global Medical's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Global Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Global Medical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Global Medical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Global Medical REIT, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Global Medical's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.13
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.29)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.12
Wall Street Target Price
40.25
Using Global Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Medical REIT from the perspective of Global Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Global Medical using Global Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Global using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Global Medical's stock price.

Global Medical Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Global Medical's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Global. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Global Medical stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
34.5489
Short Percent
0.0565
Short Ratio
4.65
Shares Short Prior Month
813.5 K
50 Day MA
33.0686

Global Medical REIT Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Global Medical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Global. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Global can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Global Medical REIT. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Global Medical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Global Medical.

Global Medical Implied Volatility

    
  0.4  
Global Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Global Medical REIT stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Global Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Global Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Global Medical's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Global Medical REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 35.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.09.

Global Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Medical to cross-verify your projections.
The current year's Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 35.48, whereas Inventory Turnover is projected to grow to (0). . The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 16.1 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 2.9 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Global Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Global Medical's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Global Medical's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Global Medical stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Global Medical's open interest, investors have to compare it to Global Medical's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Global Medical is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Global. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Global Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Global Medical Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Global Medical's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2011-12-31
Previous Quarter
6.6 M
Current Value
7.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
11.9 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Global Medical is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Global Medical REIT value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Global Medical Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Global Medical REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 35.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global Medical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Global Medical Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Global MedicalGlobal Medical Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Global Medical Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Global Medical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Global Medical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.04 and 37.34, respectively. We have considered Global Medical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.28
35.69
Expected Value
37.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global Medical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global Medical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0602
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5337
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0166
SAESum of the absolute errors33.0903
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Global Medical REIT. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Global Medical. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Global Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Medical REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.4035.0536.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.7538.8740.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
30.6733.2635.84
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
36.6340.2544.68
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Global Medical

For every potential investor in Global, whether a beginner or expert, Global Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Global Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Global. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Global Medical's price trends.

Global Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Global Medical REIT Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Global Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Global Medical's current price.

Global Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Global Medical REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Global Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Global Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Global Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting global stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Global Medical REIT is a strong investment it is important to analyze Global Medical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Global Medical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Global Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Medical to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Medical. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2
Dividend Share
3.6
Earnings Share
(0.26)
Revenue Per Share
10.826
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.086
The market value of Global Medical REIT is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.