GPT Healthcare Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

GPTHEALTH   177.05  4.07  2.35%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GPT Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 168.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 254.28. GPT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although GPT Healthcare's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of GPT Healthcare's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of GPT Healthcare fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, GPT Healthcare's Short Term Debt is quite stable compared to the past year. Intangible Assets is expected to rise to about 10.2 M this year, although the value of Short and Long Term Debt Total will most likely fall to about 261.1 M.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for GPT Healthcare is based on a synthetically constructed GPT Healthcaredaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

GPT Healthcare 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of GPT Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 168.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.05, mean absolute percentage error of 60.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 254.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GPT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GPT Healthcare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GPT Healthcare Stock Forecast Pattern

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GPT Healthcare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GPT Healthcare's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GPT Healthcare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 166.79 and 171.17, respectively. We have considered GPT Healthcare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
177.05
166.79
Downside
168.98
Expected Value
171.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GPT Healthcare stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GPT Healthcare stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria87.2894
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.7187
MADMean absolute deviation6.0544
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0363
SAESum of the absolute errors254.2845
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. GPT Healthcare 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for GPT Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GPT Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GPT Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
174.86177.05179.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
173.10175.29177.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GPT Healthcare

For every potential investor in GPT, whether a beginner or expert, GPT Healthcare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GPT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GPT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GPT Healthcare's price trends.

GPT Healthcare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GPT Healthcare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GPT Healthcare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GPT Healthcare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GPT Healthcare Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GPT Healthcare's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GPT Healthcare's current price.

GPT Healthcare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GPT Healthcare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GPT Healthcare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GPT Healthcare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GPT Healthcare entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GPT Healthcare Risk Indicators

The analysis of GPT Healthcare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GPT Healthcare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gpt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in GPT Stock

GPT Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether GPT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GPT with respect to the benefits of owning GPT Healthcare security.