GT Capital Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

GTPPB Stock   960.00  5.00  0.52%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GT Capital Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 960.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 499.16. GTPPB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for GT Capital is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

GT Capital Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GT Capital Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 960.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.32, mean absolute percentage error of 178.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 499.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GTPPB Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GT Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GT Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GT Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GT Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.4544
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.1526
MADMean absolute deviation8.3193
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0088
SAESum of the absolute errors499.155
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of GT Capital Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of GT Capital. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for GT Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GT Capital Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
957.82960.00962.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
952.98955.161,056
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
930.06962.18994.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GT Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GT Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GT Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GT Capital Holdings.

GT Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GT Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GT Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GT Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GT Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GT Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GT Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GT Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GT Capital Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GT Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of GT Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GT Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gtppb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for GTPPB Stock Analysis

When running GT Capital's price analysis, check to measure GT Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GT Capital is operating at the current time. Most of GT Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GT Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GT Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GT Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.