GungHo Online OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GUNGFDelisted Stock  USD 21.15  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GungHo Online Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 21.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.75. GungHo OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GungHo Online's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the value of rsi of GungHo Online's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
GungHo Online Entert stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of GungHo Online shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of GungHo Online's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GungHo Online and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GungHo Online's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GungHo Online Entertainment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of GungHo Online based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using GungHo Online hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GungHo Online Entertainment from the perspective of GungHo Online response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GungHo Online Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 21.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.75.

GungHo Online after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 21.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GungHo Online to cross-verify your projections.

GungHo Online Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GungHo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GungHo using various technical indicators. When you analyze GungHo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
GungHo Online simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for GungHo Online Entertainment are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as GungHo Online Entert prices get older.

GungHo Online Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GungHo Online Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 21.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.55, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GungHo OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GungHo Online's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GungHo Online OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest GungHo OnlineGungHo Online Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

GungHo Online Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GungHo Online's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GungHo Online's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.49 and 27.81, respectively. We have considered GungHo Online's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.15
21.15
Expected Value
27.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GungHo Online otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GungHo Online otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.6767
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0958
MADMean absolute deviation0.0958
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0062
SAESum of the absolute errors5.75
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting GungHo Online Entertainment forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent GungHo Online observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for GungHo Online

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GungHo Online Entert. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.8221.4828.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1716.8323.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.1020.9922.88
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GungHo Online. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GungHo Online's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GungHo Online's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GungHo Online Entert.

GungHo Online After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GungHo Online at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GungHo Online or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of GungHo Online, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GungHo Online Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GungHo Online's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GungHo Online's historical news coverage. GungHo Online's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.82 and 28.14, respectively. We have considered GungHo Online's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
21.15
21.48
After-hype Price
28.14
Upside
GungHo Online is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GungHo Online Entert is based on 3 months time horizon.

GungHo Online OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as GungHo Online is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GungHo Online backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GungHo Online, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
6.66
  0.33 
  0.07 
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
21.15
21.48
1.56 
426.92  
Notes

GungHo Online Hype Timeline

GungHo Online Entert is currently traded for 21.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.33, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. GungHo is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is anticipated to be 1.56%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on GungHo Online is about 2134.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.22. The company reported the revenue of 104.63 B. Net Income was 22.88 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 61.06 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GungHo Online to cross-verify your projections.

GungHo Online Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GungHo Online's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GungHo Online's future price movements. Getting to know how GungHo Online's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GungHo Online may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BOYAFBoyaa Interactive International 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 0.00  0.00  39.24 
UBSFYUbiSoft Entertainment 1.56 3 per month 0.00 (0.20) 6.77 (8.33) 34.92 
BVSFFBravura Solutions Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
UBSFFUbisoft Entertainment 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 13.78 (14.27) 39.71 
OKIEYOki Electric Industry 1.56 6 per month 0.00  0.04  0.00  0.00  13.49 
SNCPFSun Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CCCMFCancom SE 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IGGGFIGG Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.00  0.00  8.93 
SWDHYSkyworth Digital Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EGHSFEnghouse Systems Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.62 (3.03) 6.96 

Other Forecasting Options for GungHo Online

For every potential investor in GungHo, whether a beginner or expert, GungHo Online's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GungHo OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GungHo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GungHo Online's price trends.

GungHo Online Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GungHo Online otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GungHo Online could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GungHo Online by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GungHo Online Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GungHo Online otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GungHo Online shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GungHo Online otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GungHo Online Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GungHo Online Risk Indicators

The analysis of GungHo Online's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GungHo Online's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gungho otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for GungHo Online

The number of cover stories for GungHo Online depends on current market conditions and GungHo Online's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GungHo Online is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GungHo Online's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GungHo Online to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the GungHo Online Entert information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GungHo Online's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in GungHo OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in GungHo Online Entert check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the GungHo Online's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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