Haitong Securities Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

HAITY Stock  USD 9.39  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Haitong Securities Co on the next trading day is expected to be 11.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.78. Haitong Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Haitong Securities price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Haitong Securities Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Haitong Securities Co on the next trading day is expected to be 11.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73, mean absolute percentage error of 4.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Haitong Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Haitong Securities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Haitong Securities Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Haitong Securities Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Haitong Securities' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Haitong Securities' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.09 and 30.27, respectively. We have considered Haitong Securities' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.39
11.48
Expected Value
30.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Haitong Securities pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Haitong Securities pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.7073
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.7341
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1953
SAESum of the absolute errors105.7825
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Haitong Securities Co historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Haitong Securities

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Haitong Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Haitong Securities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.479.3928.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.407.9726.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.3911.8015.20
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Haitong Securities

For every potential investor in Haitong, whether a beginner or expert, Haitong Securities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Haitong Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Haitong. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Haitong Securities' price trends.

Haitong Securities Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Haitong Securities pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Haitong Securities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Haitong Securities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Haitong Securities Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Haitong Securities' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Haitong Securities' current price.

Haitong Securities Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Haitong Securities pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Haitong Securities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Haitong Securities pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Haitong Securities Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Haitong Securities Risk Indicators

The analysis of Haitong Securities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Haitong Securities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting haitong pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Haitong Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Haitong Securities' price analysis, check to measure Haitong Securities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Haitong Securities is operating at the current time. Most of Haitong Securities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Haitong Securities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Haitong Securities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Haitong Securities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.