HAKI Safety Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

HAKI-A Stock   28.80  1.20  4.00%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HAKI Safety A on the next trading day is expected to be 27.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.61. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast HAKI Safety's stock prices and determine the direction of HAKI Safety A's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HAKI Safety's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for HAKI Safety is based on an artificially constructed time series of HAKI Safety daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

HAKI Safety 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of HAKI Safety A on the next trading day is expected to be 27.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.05, mean absolute percentage error of 2.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HAKI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HAKI Safety's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HAKI Safety Stock Forecast Pattern

HAKI Safety Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HAKI Safety's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HAKI Safety's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.11 and 30.79, respectively. We have considered HAKI Safety's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
28.80
27.45
Expected Value
30.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HAKI Safety stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HAKI Safety stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.1173
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0281
MADMean absolute deviation1.0492
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.038
SAESum of the absolute errors55.6062
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. HAKI Safety A 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for HAKI Safety

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HAKI Safety A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for HAKI Safety

For every potential investor in HAKI, whether a beginner or expert, HAKI Safety's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HAKI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HAKI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HAKI Safety's price trends.

HAKI Safety Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HAKI Safety stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HAKI Safety could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HAKI Safety by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HAKI Safety A Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HAKI Safety's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HAKI Safety's current price.

HAKI Safety Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HAKI Safety stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HAKI Safety shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HAKI Safety stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HAKI Safety A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HAKI Safety Risk Indicators

The analysis of HAKI Safety's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HAKI Safety's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting haki stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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