DWS Aktien Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for DWS Aktien is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of DWS Aktien Strategie value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

DWS Aktien Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of DWS Aktien Strategie on the next trading day is expected to be 496.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.73, mean absolute percentage error of 20.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 227.78.

DWS Aktien Fund Forecast Pattern

DWS Aktien Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DWS Aktien fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DWS Aktien fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of DWS Aktien Strategie. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict DWS Aktien. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for DWS Aktien

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DWS Aktien Strategie. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 494.02 495.13 496.24 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 454.41 455.52 544.64 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 483.90 503.52 523.14 Details

Other Forecasting Options for DWS Aktien

For every potential investor in DWS, whether a beginner or expert, DWS Aktien's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DWS Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DWS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DWS Aktien's price trends.

DWS Aktien Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

DWS Aktien Strategie Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DWS Aktien's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DWS Aktien's current price.

DWS Aktien Market Strength Events

DWS Aktien Risk Indicators

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in DWS Fund