HKT Trust Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

HKTTF Stock  USD 1.27  0.16  11.19%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of HKT Trust and on the next trading day is expected to be 1.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.03. HKT Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of HKT Trust's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for HKT Trust is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

HKT Trust Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of HKT Trust and on the next trading day is expected to be 1.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HKT Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HKT Trust's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HKT Trust Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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HKT Trust Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting HKT Trust's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HKT Trust's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 9.31, respectively. We have considered HKT Trust's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.27
1.27
Expected Value
9.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HKT Trust pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HKT Trust pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.6668
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0104
MADMean absolute deviation0.0343
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.028
SAESum of the absolute errors2.025
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of HKT Trust and price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of HKT Trust. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for HKT Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HKT Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HKT Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.008.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.008.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for HKT Trust

For every potential investor in HKT, whether a beginner or expert, HKT Trust's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. HKT Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in HKT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HKT Trust's price trends.

HKT Trust Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HKT Trust pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HKT Trust could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HKT Trust by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HKT Trust Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of HKT Trust's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of HKT Trust's current price.

HKT Trust Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HKT Trust pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HKT Trust shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HKT Trust pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify HKT Trust and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HKT Trust Risk Indicators

The analysis of HKT Trust's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HKT Trust's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hkt pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in HKT Pink Sheet

HKT Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether HKT Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HKT with respect to the benefits of owning HKT Trust security.