Haleon PLC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

HLN Stock   374.30  0.50  0.13%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Haleon PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 374.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 175.65. Haleon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Haleon PLC stock prices and determine the direction of Haleon PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Haleon PLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Haleon PLC's Total Stockholder Equity is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Property Plant And Equipment Net is expected to grow to about 1.9 B, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 4.8 B.
A two period moving average forecast for Haleon PLC is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Haleon PLC Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Haleon PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 374.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.98, mean absolute percentage error of 14.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 175.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Haleon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Haleon PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Haleon PLC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Haleon PLC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Haleon PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Haleon PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 373.40 and 375.20, respectively. We have considered Haleon PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
374.30
373.40
Downside
374.30
Expected Value
375.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Haleon PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Haleon PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0797
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5059
MADMean absolute deviation2.9771
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0079
SAESum of the absolute errors175.65
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Haleon PLC price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Haleon PLC. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Haleon PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Haleon PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
373.62374.52375.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
344.68345.58411.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
366.22374.30382.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.040.05
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Haleon PLC

For every potential investor in Haleon, whether a beginner or expert, Haleon PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Haleon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Haleon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Haleon PLC's price trends.

Haleon PLC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Haleon PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Haleon PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Haleon PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Haleon PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Haleon PLC's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Haleon PLC's current price.

Haleon PLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Haleon PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Haleon PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Haleon PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Haleon PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Haleon PLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of Haleon PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Haleon PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting haleon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Haleon PLC offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Haleon PLC's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Haleon Plc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Haleon Plc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Haleon PLC to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Haleon Stock refer to our How to Trade Haleon Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Haleon PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Haleon PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Haleon PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.