Hoegh LNG Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

HMLPFDelisted Stock   13.33  0.28  2.15%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Hoegh LNG Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 13.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.28. Hoegh Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hoegh LNG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Hoegh LNG polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Hoegh LNG Partners as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Hoegh LNG Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Hoegh LNG Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 13.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hoegh Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hoegh LNG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hoegh LNG Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Hoegh LNGHoegh LNG Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hoegh LNG pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hoegh LNG pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.4165
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5129
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0369
SAESum of the absolute errors31.2847
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Hoegh LNG historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Hoegh LNG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hoegh LNG Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3313.3313.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4911.4914.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.1014.0114.92
Details

Hoegh LNG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hoegh LNG pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hoegh LNG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hoegh LNG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hoegh LNG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hoegh LNG pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hoegh LNG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hoegh LNG pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Hoegh LNG Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hoegh LNG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hoegh LNG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hoegh LNG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hoegh pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Other Consideration for investing in Hoegh Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Hoegh LNG Partners check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Hoegh LNG's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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