HMST Old Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

HMSTDelisted Stock  USD 13.87  0.34  2.51%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HMST Old on the next trading day is expected to be 13.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.60. HMST Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of HMST Old's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of HMST Old's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with HMST Old, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using HMST Old hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HMST Old from the perspective of HMST Old response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HMST Old on the next trading day is expected to be 13.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.60.

HMST Old after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 13.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

HMST Old Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HMST price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HMST using various technical indicators. When you analyze HMST charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
HMST Old simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for HMST Old are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as HMST Old prices get older.

HMST Old Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of HMST Old on the next trading day is expected to be 13.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict HMST Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HMST Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

HMST Old Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest HMST OldHMST Old Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HMST Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HMST Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.2605
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.022
MADMean absolute deviation0.1766
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0135
SAESum of the absolute errors10.5962
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting HMST Old forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent HMST Old observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for HMST Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HMST Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HMST Old's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.8713.8713.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4511.4515.26
Details

HMST Old Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HMST Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HMST Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HMST Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

HMST Old Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HMST Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HMST Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HMST Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HMST Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

HMST Old Risk Indicators

The analysis of HMST Old's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HMST Old's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hmst stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.

Other Consideration for investing in HMST Stock

If you are still planning to invest in HMST Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the HMST Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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