Hoku Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Hoku Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000011 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006. Hoku Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Hoku |
Hoku Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Hoku Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 0.000005 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000011, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0006.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hoku Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hoku's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Hoku Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Hoku | Hoku Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hoku pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hoku pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 83.0556 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.0E-4 |
Predictive Modules for Hoku
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hoku. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hoku's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hoku Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hoku pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hoku could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hoku by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pair Trading with Hoku
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hoku position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hoku will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Hoku Pink Sheet
Moving against Hoku Pink Sheet
| 0.7 | ELVA | Electrovaya Common Shares | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | BE | Bloom Energy Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | ENR | Energizer Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | FREY | FREYR Battery SA | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | NVX | Novonix Ltd ADR | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hoku could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hoku when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hoku - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hoku Corporation to buy it.
The correlation of Hoku is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hoku moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hoku moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hoku can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Other Consideration for investing in Hoku Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Hoku check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Hoku's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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