HSON Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HSON Old Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine HSON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HSON using various technical indicators. When you analyze HSON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for HSON Old is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of HSON Old value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

HSON Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of HSON Old on the next trading day is expected to be 10.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28.

HSON Old Stock Forecast Pattern

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HSON Old Price Prediction

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HSON Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HSON Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of HSON Old. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict HSON Old. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for HSON Old

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HSON Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 9.88 9.88 9.88 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 8.07 8.07 10.87 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 8.54 9.21 9.89 Details

HSON Old After-Hype Price Density Analysis

HSON Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

HSON Old Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

HSON Old Hype Timeline

HSON Old is currently traded for 9.88. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. HSON is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on HSON Old is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.88. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. HSON Old has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.21. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.31. The firm last dividend was issued on the 10th of June 2016. HSON Old had 1:10 split on the 11th of June 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

HSON Old Related Hype Analysis

HSON Old Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

HSON Old Market Strength Events

HSON Old Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for HSON Old

HSON Old Short Properties

Other Consideration for investing in HSON Stock