Huge Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HUG Stock   200.00  24.00  13.64%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Huge Group on the next trading day is expected to be 196.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 255.44. Huge Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Huge stock prices and determine the direction of Huge Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Huge's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Huge is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Huge Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Huge Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Huge Group on the next trading day is expected to be 196.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.19, mean absolute percentage error of 39.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 255.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Huge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Huge's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Huge Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest HugeHuge Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Huge Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Huge's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Huge's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 192.77 and 201.10, respectively. We have considered Huge's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
200.00
192.77
Downside
196.93
Expected Value
201.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Huge stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Huge stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.7865
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.1875
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0205
SAESum of the absolute errors255.4386
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Huge Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Huge. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Huge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huge Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
195.83200.00204.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
162.99167.16220.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Huge

For every potential investor in Huge, whether a beginner or expert, Huge's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Huge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Huge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Huge's price trends.

Huge Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Huge stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Huge could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Huge by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Huge Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Huge's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Huge's current price.

Huge Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Huge stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Huge shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Huge stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Huge Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Huge Risk Indicators

The analysis of Huge's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Huge's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting huge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Huge Stock

Huge financial ratios help investors to determine whether Huge Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Huge with respect to the benefits of owning Huge security.