Humble Energy Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| HUMLDelisted Stock | USD 0 0.00 0.00% |
Humble Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Humble Energy's share price is approaching 36. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Humble Energy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Humble Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Humble Energy from the perspective of Humble Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Humble Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0006 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. Humble Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 0.001 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Humble |
Humble Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Humble price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Humble using various technical indicators. When you analyze Humble charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Humble Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Humble Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0006 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000008, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Humble Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Humble Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Humble Energy Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Humble Energy | Humble Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Humble Energy pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Humble Energy pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 104.0756 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.2746 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.043 |
Predictive Modules for Humble Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Humble Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Humble Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Humble Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Humble Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Humble Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Humble Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Humble Energy's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Humble Energy's historical news coverage. Humble Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Humble Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Humble Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Humble Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Humble Energy Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Humble Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Humble Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Humble Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0 | 0 | 0.00 |
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Humble Energy Hype Timeline
Humble Energy is currently traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Humble is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Humble Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.0. Humble Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:150 split on the 25th of February 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.Humble Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Humble Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Humble Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Humble Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Humble Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TXHE | Texhoma Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UAPC | United Amern Pete | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SAEC | Starlight Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WBRE | Wild Brush Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| USEI | Us Energy Initiative | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CBVTF | Cobra Venture | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STPJF | Southern Pacific Resource | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PSTRQ | PostRock Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MNVN | Mondial Ventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AKVA | Arkanova Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Humble Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Humble Energy pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Humble Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Humble Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Humble Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Humble Energy pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Humble Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Humble Energy pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Humble Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Humble Energy
The number of cover stories for Humble Energy depends on current market conditions and Humble Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Humble Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Humble Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Other Consideration for investing in Humble Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Humble Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Humble Energy's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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