Horizon Minerals Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

HZNM Stock  USD 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Horizon Minerals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Horizon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Horizon Minerals' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Horizon Minerals' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Horizon Minerals fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Horizon Minerals' Total Current Liabilities is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 23rd of November 2024, Total Liabilities is likely to grow to about 133 K, while Common Stock is likely to drop 6,703.

Horizon Minerals Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Horizon Minerals' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
524.4
Current Value
432.85
Quarterly Volatility
245.12994295
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Horizon Minerals is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Horizon Minerals Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Horizon Minerals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Horizon Minerals Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0002 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Horizon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Horizon Minerals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Horizon Minerals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Horizon Minerals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Horizon Minerals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Horizon Minerals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 0.0002, respectively. We have considered Horizon Minerals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0002
0.0002
Downside
0.0002
Expected Value
0.0002
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Horizon Minerals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Horizon Minerals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria31.7713
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Horizon Minerals Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Horizon Minerals. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Horizon Minerals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Horizon Minerals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00020.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00020.00020.0002
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Horizon Minerals

For every potential investor in Horizon, whether a beginner or expert, Horizon Minerals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Horizon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Horizon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Horizon Minerals' price trends.

View Horizon Minerals Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Horizon Minerals Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Horizon Minerals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Horizon Minerals' current price.

Horizon Minerals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Horizon Minerals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Horizon Minerals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Horizon Minerals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Horizon Minerals Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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When determining whether Horizon Minerals Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Horizon Minerals' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Horizon Minerals' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Horizon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Horizon Minerals to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Horizon Minerals. If investors know Horizon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Horizon Minerals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Return On Assets
(0.25)
Return On Equity
(1.20)
The market value of Horizon Minerals Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Horizon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Horizon Minerals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Horizon Minerals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Horizon Minerals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Horizon Minerals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Horizon Minerals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Horizon Minerals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Horizon Minerals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.