Iron Mountain Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

I1RM34 Stock  BRL 690.06  9.34  1.37%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Iron Mountain Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 659.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 953.02. Iron Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Iron Mountain stock prices and determine the direction of Iron Mountain Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Iron Mountain's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Iron Mountain polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Iron Mountain Incorporated as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Iron Mountain Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Iron Mountain Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 659.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.37, mean absolute percentage error of 366.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 953.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Iron Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Iron Mountain's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Iron Mountain Stock Forecast Pattern

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Iron Mountain Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Iron Mountain's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Iron Mountain's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 657.52 and 661.33, respectively. We have considered Iron Mountain's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
690.06
657.52
Downside
659.42
Expected Value
661.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Iron Mountain stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Iron Mountain stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.8518
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation15.3713
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0228
SAESum of the absolute errors953.019
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Iron Mountain historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Iron Mountain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iron Mountain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
688.16690.06691.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
573.74575.64759.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
627.63688.54749.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Iron Mountain. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Iron Mountain's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Iron Mountain's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Iron Mountain.

Other Forecasting Options for Iron Mountain

For every potential investor in Iron, whether a beginner or expert, Iron Mountain's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Iron Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Iron. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Iron Mountain's price trends.

Iron Mountain Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Iron Mountain stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Iron Mountain could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Iron Mountain by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Iron Mountain Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Iron Mountain's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Iron Mountain's current price.

Iron Mountain Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Iron Mountain stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Iron Mountain shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Iron Mountain stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Iron Mountain Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Iron Mountain Risk Indicators

The analysis of Iron Mountain's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Iron Mountain's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iron stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Iron Stock

When determining whether Iron Mountain is a strong investment it is important to analyze Iron Mountain's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Iron Mountain's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Iron Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Iron Mountain to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Iron Mountain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Iron Mountain is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Iron Mountain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.