ICC Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ICCHDelisted Stock  USD 23.49  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ICC Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 23.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.98. ICC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ICC Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026, The value of RSI of ICC Holdings' share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ICC Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 57

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ICC Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ICC Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ICC Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ICC Holdings from the perspective of ICC Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ICC Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 23.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.98.

ICC Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 23.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

ICC Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ICC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ICC using various technical indicators. When you analyze ICC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for ICC Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ICC Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ICC Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ICC Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 23.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ICC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ICC Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ICC Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ICC HoldingsICC Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ICC Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ICC Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.4158
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1145
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.005
SAESum of the absolute errors6.9849
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ICC Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ICC Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ICC Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ICC Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ICC Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.4923.4923.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8119.8125.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.4223.0523.69
Details

ICC Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ICC Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ICC Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ICC Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ICC Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ICC Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ICC Holdings' historical news coverage. ICC Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.49 and 23.49, respectively. We have considered ICC Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
23.49
23.49
After-hype Price
23.49
Upside
ICC Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ICC Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

ICC Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ICC Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ICC Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ICC Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
23.49
23.49
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

ICC Holdings Hype Timeline

ICC Holdings is currently traded for 23.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ICC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on ICC Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.49. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ICC Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.

ICC Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ICC Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ICC Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how ICC Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ICC Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

ICC Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ICC Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ICC Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ICC Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ICC Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ICC Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ICC Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ICC Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ICC Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for ICC Holdings

The number of cover stories for ICC Holdings depends on current market conditions and ICC Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ICC Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ICC Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

ICC Holdings Short Properties

ICC Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when ICC Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ICC Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ICC Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICC Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 M
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Other Consideration for investing in ICC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in ICC Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ICC Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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