Iceland Seafood Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ICESEA Stock  ISK 4.78  0.04  0.84%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Iceland Seafood International on the next trading day is expected to be 4.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66. Iceland Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Iceland Seafood stock prices and determine the direction of Iceland Seafood International's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Iceland Seafood's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Iceland Seafood is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Iceland Seafood Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Iceland Seafood International on the next trading day is expected to be 4.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Iceland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Iceland Seafood's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Iceland Seafood Stock Forecast Pattern

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Iceland Seafood Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Iceland Seafood's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Iceland Seafood's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.61 and 5.95, respectively. We have considered Iceland Seafood's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.78
4.78
Expected Value
5.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Iceland Seafood stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Iceland Seafood stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.0227
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0053
MADMean absolute deviation0.0451
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0091
SAESum of the absolute errors2.66
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Iceland Seafood International price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Iceland Seafood. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Iceland Seafood

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Iceland Seafood Inte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Iceland Seafood's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.614.785.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.614.785.95
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Iceland Seafood

For every potential investor in Iceland, whether a beginner or expert, Iceland Seafood's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Iceland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Iceland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Iceland Seafood's price trends.

Iceland Seafood Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Iceland Seafood stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Iceland Seafood could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Iceland Seafood by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Iceland Seafood Inte Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Iceland Seafood's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Iceland Seafood's current price.

Iceland Seafood Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Iceland Seafood stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Iceland Seafood shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Iceland Seafood stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Iceland Seafood International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Iceland Seafood Risk Indicators

The analysis of Iceland Seafood's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Iceland Seafood's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting iceland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Iceland Stock

Iceland Seafood financial ratios help investors to determine whether Iceland Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Iceland with respect to the benefits of owning Iceland Seafood security.