Ismailia Development Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

IDRE Stock   19.60  0.54  2.68%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ismailia Development and on the next trading day is expected to be 19.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98 and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.86. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Ismailia Development's stock prices and determine the direction of Ismailia Development and's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ismailia Development's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Ismailia Development is based on an artificially constructed time series of Ismailia Development daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Ismailia Development 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Ismailia Development and on the next trading day is expected to be 19.98 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.98, mean absolute percentage error of 2.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.86.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ismailia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ismailia Development's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ismailia Development Stock Forecast Pattern

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ismailia Development stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ismailia Development stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.2305
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.4665
MADMean absolute deviation0.9785
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0547
SAESum of the absolute errors51.8588
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Ismailia Development and 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Ismailia Development

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ismailia Development and. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Ismailia Development Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ismailia Development stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ismailia Development could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ismailia Development by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ismailia Development Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ismailia Development stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ismailia Development shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ismailia Development stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ismailia Development and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.